BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Illinois St

Class: 1 Class Rank: 128 Overall: (22-14) Overall Strength =   34.39
Conference: Missouri Valley Record: (11-11) | District: 1-02 Record: (20-14)

 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid M Predict
 1 11-04-2024 Home    L   *  19.88  65  67    1 287 (14-19) TN Martin             -14.32     12.32                      
 2 11-07-2024 Away    W   *  46.95  77  68    1 123 (21-11) N Dakota St            12.75     -3.75                      
 3 11-12-2024 Home    W   *  37.59  85  75    1 181 (16-16) Ohio                    3.39      6.61                      
 4 11-17-2024 Home    W      27.46 107  52   ZZ 300 ( 0- 2) Trinity Chr            -6.74 *   61.74                      
 5 11-22-2024 Neutral L   *  33.73  68  76    1  65 (28- 7) McNeese St             -0.47     -7.53                      
 6 11-23-2024 Neutral W   *  37.78  84  83    1 102 (24-13) Alabama-Birmingham      3.58     -2.58                      
 7 11-25-2024 Neutral L   *  25.95  64  72    1 134 (21-13) G Washington           -8.25      0.25                      
 8 12-04-2024 Away    L * *  35.30  97  99 1  1 131 (22-11) Belmont                 1.10     -3.10                      
 9 12-07-2024 Home    W   *  33.22  72  61    1 288 ( 9-24) Pacific                -0.98     11.98                      
10 12-15-2024 Home    W   *  36.18  81  77    1 120 (19-15) Saint Louis             1.98      2.02                      
11 12-18-2024 Home    W   *  35.43  81  60    1 348 ( 6-25) Northern Illinois       1.23     19.77                      
12 12-22-2024 Away    W      40.41  80  77    1 130 (17-11) Cornell                 6.21     -3.21                      
13 12-29-2024 Home    L * *  23.29  67  73    1 160 (18-14) IL Chicago            -10.91      4.91                      
14 01-02-2025 Away    W * *  42.64  74  68    1 137 (16-17) Murray St               8.44     -2.44                      
15 01-05-2025 Home    W * *  58.21  85  54    1 190 (15-19) S Illinois             24.01      6.99                      
16 01-08-2025 Away    L * *  11.63  51  69    1 248 (11-21) Evansville            -22.57      4.57                      
17 01-11-2025 Home    L * *  33.24  84  85    1  98 (20-13) Northern Iowa          -0.96     -0.04                      
18 01-15-2025 Away    L * *  40.79  62  66    1  67 (31- 4) Drake                   6.59    -10.59                      
19 01-18-2025 Home    W * *  31.44  74  68    1 222 ( 9-23) Missouri St            -2.76      8.76                      
20 01-21-2025 Home    W * *  30.05  85  81    1 201 (14-18) Indiana St             -4.15      8.15                      
21 01-25-2025 Away    L * *  37.59  57  61    1  91 (28- 9) Bradley                 3.39     -7.39                      
22 01-29-2025 Home    W * *  34.19  81  78    1 131 (22-11) Belmont                -0.01      3.01                      
23 02-01-2025 Home    W * *  34.65  86  78    1 203 (15-19) Valparaiso              0.45      7.55                      
24 02-05-2025 Away    W * *  37.40  81  79    1 160 (18-14) IL Chicago              3.20     -1.20                      
25 02-08-2025 Away    L * *  37.35  65  68    1  98 (20-13) Northern Iowa           3.15     -6.15                      
26 02-12-2025 Home    L * *  31.67  77  84    1  67 (31- 4) Drake                  -2.53     -4.47                      
27 02-15-2025 Away    L * *  23.16  76  85    1 201 (14-18) Indiana St            -11.04      2.04                      
28 02-19-2025 Home    W * *  46.47  82  71    1  91 (28- 9) Bradley                12.27     -1.27                      
29 02-22-2025 Away    W * *  33.55  70  68    1 222 ( 9-23) Missouri St            -0.65      2.65                      
30 02-25-2025 Away    L * *  24.32  79  88    1 190 (15-19) S Illinois             -9.88      0.88                      
31 03-02-2025 Home    W * *  32.51  62  53    1 248 (11-21) Evansville             -1.69     10.69                      
32 03-06-2025 Neutral W * *  44.49  70  54    1 222 ( 9-23) Missouri St            10.29      5.71                      
33 03-07-2025 Neutral L * *  21.25  63  76    1 131 (22-11) Belmont               -12.95     -0.05                      
34 03-23-2025 Neutral W   *  35.34  78  70    1 239 (14-19) Presbyterian            1.14      6.86                      
35 03-25-2025 Neutral W   *  32.91  78  73    1 236 (18-17) Incarnate Word         -1.29      6.29                      
36 03-26-2025 Neutral W   *  43.19  79  68    1 169 (23-13) Cleveland St            8.99      2.01                      
      Averages              34.20  75.8 71.8

Best game:   58.21 = 31 point win over S Illinois
Worst game:  11.63 = 18 point loss to Evansville
Team stdev:   8.73